Sunday, August 02, 2009

Titans scoring drives

Inspired this recent Smart Football post questioning the value of big plays, below is a data dump inspired by this Burnt Orange Nation post. I'll probably turn this into a Total Titans post eventually.


WeekPlaysYardsTD PlayTD YdsYPPLongest
1632FG475.3318
1775CJ rec710.7127
1985White run19.4444
21161White run15.5519
2780Gage rec1111.4351
21056FG345.6019
31177White run27.0021
31068Scaife rec96.8017
3774White run110.5737
3534FG446.8032
41174FG206.7318
4933CJ run13.6711
4858FG327.2528
4511White run12.209
4733Bironas494.7119
416CJ run66.006
540FG350.000
51381FG266.2326
51180Alge rec117.2715
71049FG494.9016
7653White run68.8328
7980White run28.8924
7831FG463.8810
7391White run8030.3380
7269CJ run6634.5066
81140FG343.647
8940FG444.4413
81480White run15.7123
8617FG482.8311
81366White run15.0816
8116CJ run1616.0016
91153FG314.8225
91248FG254.0015-pen
9474CJ run318.5054
9713FG221.8610
91055FG415.5016
10422Scaife rec105.5014
10656Gage rec129.3316
101152White run24.7312
11857FG327.1320
11755Jones rec137.8613
11363Gage rec5621.0056
11451Gage rec3812.7538
121250FG434.1717
121147FG494.2715
12466Hall rec616.5037
13234CJ run617.0028
13477CJ run5819.2558
13431White run67.7520
131591White run26.0723
13529FG495.8021
13939FG414.3326
1344FG451.008
13761FG438.7154
141068Hall rec286.8028
141093White run39.3020
14211Gage rec95.509
14125CJ run2525.0025
15624FG264.0014
15493FG2323.2540
15930FG513.3312
15645FG347.5028
16517FG423.4013
16339Gage rec3413.0034
161178CJ run217.0921
16937White run14.1117
19665CJ run810.8328
19632FG275.3312


Drive averages and medians by types:
Avg PlayMed PlayAvg YdsMed YdsAvg LongMed Long
TD6.74757.086527.6923
FG8.03841.694018.8916.5


Commentary:
  • Offensive touchdowns only, defensive scores not included.

  • In doing the table, I excised my column with context-providing information. For example, the 0 yard scoring drive leading to the 35 yard field goal in Week 5 was created by an interception. Overall, there were 4 fumbles, 4 interceptions, 2 punt returns, and 1 punt muff in this category. Note that I only noted INTs, etc. for short drives. 70 yard TD drives where the drive started off an interception are not included.

  • Casually speaking, most of the drives without a 20+ yard play featured multiple plays that earned double-digit yardage. Take, for instance, the 7 play 55 yard drive that concluded in Brandon Jones' 13 yard TD reception Week 11 in Jacksonville. Jones' catch was the drive's longest play, but there were also 11, 10, and 8 yard plays earlier in the drive.

  • Unsurprisingly, drives that resulted in field goals were shorter and had more plays than did drives that resulted in touchdowns. The difference between the average and median play length is also greater for TD drives than for FG drives.

  • My very preliminary conclusion is that "explosion" plays drive scoring less in the NFL they do in college, though this may be a reading of the data consistent with my intuitive biases w/r/t college v. the NFL.

  • All the data here is the dog that barked, rather than the dog that didn't bark. To really do a decent job, I need to compare scoring drives with non-scoring drives and some metric of "explosion plays" (20+ yards?) and how frequently they result in scores.

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